
Strive's Funding Shift Lifts TD Cowen's Price Target
TD Cowen raised its Strive target to $56 from $44 as warrant dilution ends and a reported preferred offering takes over bitcoin funding.
TD Cowen's price-target increase to $56 reflects a financing shift at Strive: the PIPE warrant overhang that diluted common shares has cleared, and a reported $630 million SATS preferred shares offering is meant to fund further bitcoin purchases without issuing more common stock. The signal concerns balance-sheet engineering, not bitcoin fundamentals.
The Ledger Desk · 3 min read- TD Cowen raised its Strive (ASST) price target to $56 from $44, a 27% increase, according to The Block.
- Strive's 8-K filings report 3,311 BTC bought October 5-9 and 2,822 BTC on October 12-13, 6,133 BTC in total.
- Warrant exercises on October 12-13 were expected to bring in $369.2 million gross, and no PIPE traditional warrants remained afterward, per the October 14 filing.
- The reported funding plan is a SATS preferred offering of 7 million shares at $90, targeting $630 million, with closing expected October 20; this is reported, not closed.
- The shares still fell 6.6% to $23.96 on the day, according to The Block, so the market did not simply reward the plan.
TD Cowen lifted its price target on Strive to $56 from $44, reported The Block on October 16. The change follows a burst of bitcoin buying and the end of a warrant overhang that had weighed on the stock. The more useful question is how the purchases are paid for. Strive appears to be swapping common-stock dilution for preferred-share funding, which changes who bears the cost of each additional coin.
What Strive bought and how it was disclosed
Strive's own filings confirm two large purchases in consecutive weeks. A Form 8-K dated October 13 reports 3,311 bitcoin bought between October 5 and 9 at an average of about $84,500, including fees. A second 8-K dated October 14 reports 2,822 bitcoin at about $83,266 over October 12-13. Together that is 6,133 bitcoin in roughly nine days, by simple addition of the two filings. Total holdings should be read from Strive's latest filing rather than from a summary.
Why the warrant overhang matters
Warrant exercises create new common shares, which dilutes per-share bitcoin exposure even when total holdings rise. Strive's October 14 filing says 273,493,909 traditional warrants, covering 13,674,703 Class A shares, were exercised on October 12-13 for expected gross proceeds of $369.2 million, and that no PIPE traditional warrants remained outstanding. TD Cowen, per The Block, says this dilution pressured the company's BTC Yield metric and should now ease.
The preferred offering replaces common issuance
According to The Block, Strive expanded its SATS preferred offering to 7 million shares at $90 each, targeting $630 million, with closing expected October 20 and cash reserved for 18 months of dividends. These are reported terms, not a closed deal. Preferred stock avoids new common shares, but it carries its own payout terms, which the cited reporting does not detail. The cost moves from ownership dilution to whatever the instrument pays, so the offering documents are the place to check.
What the market response says
The upgrade did not lift the shares on the day. The Block reports ASST fell 6.6% to $23.96, though it remains up more than 38% year to date. That is a factual gap between an analyst's cleaner reading of the capital structure and the immediate price reaction. The sources do not explain the reason for the decline, and the target is one firm's view that should be read as such.
What to watch next
Three checkable items follow. First, whether the SATS offering closes on October 20 at the reported size. Second, whether Strive's next weekly 8-K shows purchases funded by preferred proceeds rather than common issuance. Third, how the dividend terms and reserve are described in the offering documents and later filings. Readers tracking corporate bitcoin holders should compare filings with analyst summaries, since the two can differ in detail.
- Why did TD Cowen raise its Strive price target?
- According to The Block, TD Cowen moved its target to $56 from $44 because Strive bought far more bitcoin than the firm forecast and because warrant-driven dilution pressure is expected to ease now that no PIPE warrants remain outstanding.
- How does Strive plan to pay for further bitcoin purchases?
- Reportedly through an expanded SATS preferred share offering of 7 million shares at $90 each, targeting $630 million, with cash set aside for 18 months of dividends. TD Cowen expects it to fund purchases without adding common shares.
- What do Strive's own filings confirm?
- Its October 13 and 14 Form 8-K filings report purchases of 3,311 BTC at about $84,500 and 2,822 BTC at about $83,266, plus warrant exercises with expected gross proceeds of $369.2 million. The preferred offering terms come from The Block's report, not from those filings.
- Strive's bitcoin buying spree earns 27% price target hike from TD Cowen — The Block
- Strive, Inc. Form 8-K, October 13, 2026 — U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (EDGAR)
- Strive, Inc. Form 8-K, October 14, 2026 — U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (EDGAR)