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Galaxy's Helios Rests on One Tenant's Credit

Galaxy's Helios Rests on One Tenant's Credit

StoneX keeps a $57 target on Galaxy as Helios rests on one tenant whose cost of capital has jumped. The debt stack is the real test.

StoneX reiterated a Buy rating and $57 target on Galaxy Digital on October 19, 2026, arguing the market undervalues Helios because CoreWeave, its sole tenant for the first 800 MW, faces higher borrowing costs. The call turns on one counterparty's credit, and on how Galaxy's 36-month Helios facility gets refinanced.

The Ledger Desk · 3 min read

StoneX has reiterated a Buy rating and a $57 price target on Galaxy Digital, saying the market undervalues Helios, the company's AI data center campus in West Texas. The risk the market is pricing is specific: CoreWeave is the sole tenant for the first 800 MW, and its borrowing costs have risen. The useful question is how one tenant's credit sits underneath Galaxy's project debt.

What the StoneX note argues

The Block reports that StoneX analyst Mark Palmer's note, dated October 19, 2026, keeps a Buy rating and a $57 target on GLXY. It argues the market assigns effectively no value to Galaxy's digital asset operations and undervalues the data center business. GLXY fell about 30% over two weeks before rising 2.5% to $16.57 that Monday, so the target sits more than three times above the quoted price. It is one analyst's opinion, not a verified valuation.

One tenant carries the contracted cash flows

Per The Block, CoreWeave is the sole tenant for Helios's first 800 MW. It has committed to 526 MW of critical IT load across three phases, and Galaxy delivered the first 133 MW in July under a 15-year lease. The note says the contracted cash flows rest on a single counterparty whose cost of capital has jumped. CoreWeave had $35.6 billion of debt outstanding at the end of June 2026, and its contracted backlog rose to $104 billion over five quarters.

How the first phase was financed

Galaxy said it closed a $1.4 billion project financing facility for Helios on August 15, 2025. The debt carries an 80% loan-to-cost ratio and a 36-month term, and it is secured by the first-phase assets. Galaxy supplied the $350 million equity requirement. Per an SEC filing reported by The Block, Deutsche Bank was the initial lender. Galaxy said it expected average annual revenue above $1 billion over the 15-year leases, assuming full utilization.

Where the financing risk concentrates

A 36-month, construction-stage facility will need to be replaced by longer-term financing, and that refinancing will likely be priced off the lease. This is the desk's inference, not a finding from the sources. If CoreWeave's cost of capital stays elevated, lenders may demand more for a lease with one tenant. The sources do not give refinancing terms, so the facility's maturity and Galaxy's recourse obligations remain the figures to check in its filings.

What this means for readers

Treat the $57 target as an opinion and test the three things that can be checked: CoreWeave's debt and funding costs in its filings, Galaxy's Helios delivery progress against the 526 MW commitment, and the terms and timing of any refinancing of the 2025 facility. Galaxy reported an $85 million net loss for the second quarter of 2026, and Helios's first revenue included $11 million of adjusted EBITDA, per The Block. This is credit analysis, not a recommendation on any security.

What did StoneX say about Galaxy Digital?
In a note dated October 19, 2026, StoneX reiterated a Buy rating and a $57 price target on GLXY. It argues the market undervalues the AI data center business and assigns effectively no value to the digital asset operations, per The Block.
Why does CoreWeave's debt matter to Helios?
CoreWeave is the sole tenant for Helios's first 800 MW under 15-year leases. The Block quotes the StoneX note saying the contracted cash flows rest on a single counterparty whose cost of capital has jumped. CoreWeave had $35.6 billion of debt outstanding at the end of June 2026.
How was the first Helios phase financed?
Galaxy announced on August 15, 2025 that it had closed a $1.4 billion project financing facility. It carries an 80% loan-to-cost ratio and a 36-month term, and it is secured by the first-phase assets. Galaxy supplied the $350 million equity requirement.
  1. Galaxy's AI data center business is undervalued amid CoreWeave debt concerns, StoneX says — The Block
  2. Galaxy Closes $1.4 Billion Project Financing Facility to Accelerate Helios AI Datacenter Development — Galaxy Digital
  3. Galaxy closes $1.4 billion debt facility to retrofit its Helios bitcoin mining center for CoreWeave AI deal — The Block