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Robinhood Crypto Revenue Fell 55%; Total Missed Estimates

Robinhood Crypto Revenue Fell 55%; Total Missed Estimates

Crypto slipped to 8.4% of revenue as options, equities and prediction markets grew, per CoinDesk. Total revenue and EPS missed estimates.

Robinhood's third-quarter crypto transaction revenue fell 55% to $120 million, per CoinDesk, yet beat the $114.1 million Street estimate. Total revenue of $1.424 billion and EPS of $0.51 both missed forecasts. Options, equities and prediction markets carried the quarter at Robinhood, while Bitstamp volume fell 28%.

The Ledger Desk · 3 min read

Robinhood's crypto line shrank sharply in the third quarter while the wider business kept growing. CoinDesk reports crypto transaction revenue of $120 million, down 55% from about $267 million a year earlier, yet above the $114.1 million estimate. Total revenue and earnings per share both fell short. Every figure here is as reported by CoinDesk; Robinhood's own earnings document, which CoinDesk links, could not be opened for this piece, so the numbers are not checked against it.

Only the crypto line beat estimates

The headline beat applies to crypto alone. CoinDesk reports total revenue of $1.424 billion, up 12% year on year, against a Street estimate of $1.43 billion. Earnings per share were $0.51 against a consensus of $0.55. Shares were down about 5% in post-market trading, according to CoinDesk. A 55% fall in crypto revenue therefore still cleared a low bar, while the company as a whole narrowly missed.

Crypto volume fell by more than a third

Activity fell alongside revenue. CoinDesk reports $50 billion of crypto volume across Robinhood's platforms, down 38%: $21 billion on the Robinhood app, down 48%, and $29 billion on Bitstamp, down 28%. Crypto was 8.4% of total revenue, versus about 21% a year earlier, according to CoinDesk. The app's volume fell faster than the exchange's, though the source does not explain why.

Options, equities and prediction markets held the total up

Other lines grew enough to lift total revenue 12%. CoinDesk reports options revenue of $399 million, up 31%, and equities revenue of $121 million, up 41%. Prediction markets brought in $173 million, which CoinDesk describes as more than six times the year-earlier figure; no prior-year dollar amount is given in the report. The mix now leans on products with their own market cycles and regulatory exposure.

Robinhood Chain fees are not crypto revenue

CoinDesk reports that Robinhood Chain, in its first quarter on mainnet, recorded more than $80 billion of decentralized exchange volume and more than $50 million in chain fees. The report notes that these fees are not the same as reported crypto transaction revenue, and that Robinhood did not disclose how much it recognised as revenue. Until the company breaks that out, the network is activity worth watching, not a confirmed earnings driver.

What this means for readers: judge Robinhood by its mix, not the crypto headline. At 8.4% of revenue, crypto no longer sets the quarter. Watch whether crypto volume stabilises, whether Robinhood separates Chain revenue from transaction revenue, and whether prediction markets sustain their current scale. Confirm each figure against the company's own earnings document before relying on it.

How much did Robinhood's crypto revenue fall in the third quarter?
CoinDesk reports crypto transaction revenue of $120 million, down 55% from about $267 million a year earlier. That was above the $114.1 million analyst estimate.
Did Robinhood beat expectations overall?
Not on the figures CoinDesk reports. Total revenue was $1.424 billion, up 12%, against a $1.43 billion estimate, and EPS was $0.51 against a $0.55 consensus. Shares were down about 5% in post-market trading.
What offset the crypto decline?
CoinDesk reports options revenue of $399 million (up 31%), equities revenue of $121 million (up 41%) and prediction markets revenue of $173 million, which it describes as more than six times the year-earlier figure.
  1. Robinhood's crypto revenue plunges 55% even as trading platform posts record sales — CoinDesk
  2. Robinhood third-quarter earnings report (document linked from the CoinDesk article; not opened here) — Robinhood Markets, Inc.